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NFL picks 2026: Full list of Week 3 predictions with confidence levels

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The NFL wraps up September this weekend just as autumn is officially underway. The week opens with the Packers hosting the Falcons on Thursday Night Football and closes with the Bears hosting the Eagles on Monday Night Football. We have no matchups of undefeated teams, but we do get a matchup of winless teams when the Colts host the Texans.

Houston is one of the disappointing teams through two weeks. They were viewed as a playoff contender, but it’s not entirely shocking to see them start out 0-2 after a couple tough home games against the Bills and Bengals. They badly need a win in Indianapolis.

On the positive end of the things, the Raiders are a surprising 2-0 and the Saints are a competitive 1-1. Those two squads off in New Orleans in an inter-conference matchup that has a little more at stake than most probably expected.

Last week wasn’t great for me in my weekly picks. I finished 8-8 overall, including 2-2 in my high confidence picks thanks to the Bucs and Ravens losing. I’m back with more picks as I try and get on track before things get too far out of hand.

Just a reminder that I pick games straight up with winners and losers, but I also provide a confidence level. I’ll pick each game’s winner and slot the picks based on confidence levels — high, medium, low, and no. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win. Whether you have to assign confidence points or not, this will help you know where I’m standing with the picks. And within each group, I’ve ordered them based on confidence within the confidence level.

As always for transparency’s sake, I’m a 49ers fan, so every week you should take that pick with a grain of salt.

Lions over Jets
Chiefs over Dolphins
49ers over Cardinals
Bills over Chargers
Packers over Falcons

Panthers over Browns
Seahawks over Commanders
Eagles over Bears
Vikings over Buccaneers

Saints over Raiders
Texans over Colts
Rams over Broncos
Cowboys over Ravens***
Jaguars over Patriots
Steelers over Bengals***
Titans over Giants***



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