There’s no way to sugarcoat it: Week 3 was an absolute mess for NFL picks. We had been feeling pretty good about ourselves until Sunday rolled around and slapped us upside the head with the Commanders upsetting the Seahawks, the Steelers beating the Bengals, and Carolina falling to Cleveland.

We roll on nonetheless, with a little more humility entering Week 4. There are a lot of major questions around the league that this week can answer. Houston is fast approaching must-win mode after dropping three straight, and that will be tough against the Cowboys. Meanwhile, in the AFC West we have the Raiders in a game against the Chiefs that will really determine whether Las Vegas becomes a team to watch, or just a fun footnote to the season.

The one game to really circle: Rams vs. Eagles. Here are two teams assumed to be the top of the NFC, but both have struggled to start the season and find themselves in need of a win. It’s seeming like one of these teams is going to miss expecations this season, and this game could definine that.